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India |
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By the year 2020, in India
alone, the energy demand is expected to increase by 300% from the
present level. If urgent prevention and control measures are not put
in place from now, the SO2 emissions, as per TERI
estimates, are expected to shoot-up more than the energy demand! In
fact the model simulation shows a possibility of 315 % increase in SO2
emissions over present levels. Hence, even though the sulphur
deposition levels in much of India today are below the critical levels
for acid rain, by the year 2020 the picture will be painfully
different, if immediate mitigative steps are not taken now.
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Indian
scenario : |
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Like China,
in India too the main threat of an acid rain disaster springs from our
heavy dependence on coal as a major energy source. Even though Indian
coal is relatively low in sulphur content compared to the nature of
coal reserves of other countries like China, what threatens to cause
acid rain in India is the concentrated quantity of consumption, that
is expected to reach very high levels in some parts of the country by
2020. As energy requirements in India are growing rapidly in tune with
the growing economy, coal dependence in the country is expected to
grow threefold over the current level of consumption, making the
clouds of acid rain heavier over many highly sensitive areas in the
country like the northeast region, parts of Bihar, Orissa, West Bengal
and coastal areas in the south. Already the soils of these areas have
a low pH value, which acid rain will aggravate further making them
infertile and unsuitable for agriculture. The GREEN India 2047 project
of TERI has estimated that India is already losing between 11% to 26%
of agricultural output on account of soil degradation. Acid rain would
only increase this figure significantly. The prospect of increasing
consumption of coal in Asia makes the acid rain threat even more real
than ever. Possible options for mitigation are: radical improvements
in energy efficiency, a switchover to low sulphur fuels like natural
gas, greater use of renewables, major cut-down and removal of sulphur
from crude oil distillates like diesel, fuel oil, etc., and finally,
the widespread use of state-of-the-art pollution control devices in
all polluting sectors of the economy. As experience stands in Europe
and north America, the threat of acid rain was severely dealt with in
these regions through heavy spending on SO2 abatement technologies and
rapidly cutting down the dependence on coal by shifting to natural gas
and nuclear energy. But, action in these regions came only after a
considerable amount of ecological damage. In the 1960s, fish
populations in the Scandinavian countries were showing a rapid decline
as a result of acid rain. The infamous forest dieback in some parts of
central Europe was also from acid rain. Thus, experience from
elsewhere bears out clearly enough that the whole problem as it
confronts India needs proactive handling. |
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Conclusion : |
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The
issue of rapidly growing SO2 emissions, the resultant
sulphur deposition and the threat of acid rain in many areas of Asia
is a transboundary problem involving many countries, and, therefore,
its solution calls for regional initiatives. In Europe, the worsening
situation of acid deposition from many countries in 70s and the
related concerns about the pollution being carried over long
distances, led to the signing of an international agreement in 1979,
called "The Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution". The
signing of subsequent protocols led to binding commitments from
European countries to limit and reduce their transboundary emissions
of air pollutants. The worsening crisis of a long term acid-rain
catastrophe in Asia, in the very near future, surely calls for urgent
moves towards a similar agreement and binding protocols between the
nations exposed to this threat in the not too distant future. And the
action must begin now, as experience shows that all international
agreements with binding commitments take long to bear fruit
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